Likelihood ratio test for restrictions under partly known beta
bh5lrtest.RdThis function estimates a restricted VAR, where some of the cointegration vectors are known. The known cointegration relationships have to be provided in an \(p x r1\) matrix \(\bold{H}\). The test statistic is distributed as \(\chi^2\) with \((p-r)r1\) degrees of freedom, with \(r\) equal to total number of cointegration relations.
Details
Please note, that the number of columns of \(\bold{H}\) must be smaller than the count of cointegration relations \(r\).
References
Johansen, S. (1995), Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Johansen, S. and Juselius, K. (1992), Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK, Journal of Econometrics, 53, 211–244.
See also
ca.jo, alrtest, ablrtest,
blrtest, bh6lrtest, cajo.test-class,
ca.jo-class and urca-class.
Examples
data(UKpppuip)
attach(UKpppuip)
dat1 <- cbind(p1, p2, e12, i1, i2)
dat2 <- cbind(doilp0, doilp1)
H1 <- ca.jo(dat1, type='trace', K=2, season=4, dumvar=dat2)
H51 <- c(1, -1, -1, 0, 0)
H52 <- c(0, 0, 0, 1, -1)
summary(bh5lrtest(H1, H=H51, r=2))
#>
#> ######################
#> # Johansen-Procedure #
#> ######################
#>
#> Estimation and testing under partly known beta
#>
#> The VECM has been estimated subject to:
#> beta=H*phi and/or alpha=A*psi
#>
#> [,1]
#> [1,] 1
#> [2,] -1
#> [3,] -1
#> [4,] 0
#> [5,] 0
#>
#> Eigenvalues of restricted VAR (lambda):
#> [1] 0.3956 0.2812 0.2541 0.1008
#>
#> The value of the likelihood ratio test statistic:
#> 14.52 distributed as chi square with 3 df.
#> The p-value of the test statistic is: 0
#>
#> Eigenvectors, normalised to first column
#> of the restricted VAR:
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 1 1.0000
#> [2,] -1 0.7845
#> [3,] -1 0.2155
#> [4,] 0 -64.9725
#> [5,] 0 -40.7031
#>
#> Weights W of the restricted VAR:
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> p1.d -0.0744 -0.0031
#> p2.d -0.0147 -0.0009
#> e12.d 0.0724 0.0057
#> i1.d 0.0164 0.0020
#> i2.d 0.0416 0.0035
#>
summary(bh5lrtest(H1, H=H52, r=2))
#>
#> ######################
#> # Johansen-Procedure #
#> ######################
#>
#> Estimation and testing under partly known beta
#>
#> The VECM has been estimated subject to:
#> beta=H*phi and/or alpha=A*psi
#>
#> [,1]
#> [1,] 0
#> [2,] 0
#> [3,] 0
#> [4,] 1
#> [5,] -1
#>
#> Eigenvalues of restricted VAR (lambda):
#> [1] 0.4064 0.2607 0.1052 0.1007
#>
#> The value of the likelihood ratio test statistic:
#> 1.89 distributed as chi square with 3 df.
#> The p-value of the test statistic is: 0.59
#>
#> Eigenvectors, normalised to first column
#> of the restricted VAR:
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0 1.0000
#> [2,] 0 -0.9102
#> [3,] 0 -0.9334
#> [4,] 1 -2.6163
#> [5,] -1 -2.6163
#>
#> Weights W of the restricted VAR:
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> p1.d 0.0881 -0.0678
#> p2.d -0.0597 -0.0189
#> e12.d -0.2731 0.0975
#> i1.d -0.1450 0.0320
#> i2.d 0.2197 0.0625
#>