Introduction
I don’t win because I “guess right.” I win because I systematically bet edges and manage risk. Here’s my process.
My Core Rules
1) Use OddsTide for Discovery and Sizing
I live in the Positive EV Tool—I want no-vig comparisons, EV%, and Kelly-based recommended sizes so I can execute fast.
2) Respect Sharp Books
For certain markets (e.g., NFL sides/totals), I treat Circa as sharp and generally avoid betting directly against those numbers unless I have strong corroborating signals.
3) Volume with Discipline
Small edges (1–3% EV) are fine if I can place many of them with solid limits.
4) Promotions Are Part of the Engine
I use Low Holds to qualify for credits cheaply, then deploy credits into +EV bets.
5) Track %CLV and Results
I measure my process with CLV. Positive CLV over hundreds of bets is the backbone of confidence.
Markets I Target
- Major Sides/Totals: Higher limits, cleaner signals—good for core bankroll.
- Props/Derivatives: More variance but frequent pricing mistakes—good for satellite bankrolls.
Understanding statistical variance.
Example Day
- Scan the Odds Screen for early moves.
- Check Positive EV flags; filter by my sports.
- Place bets, sized by Kelly multiplier that fits my tolerance.
- Log outcomes and CLV; review which books/markets are working best.
Frequently Asked Questions
How do I get started with OddsTide?
Sign up for a free account to access basic tools and limited data. Upgrade to Pro for unlimited access to all tools, real-time data, and advanced features like custom alerts and bet tracking.
Which sportsbooks does OddsTide support?
OddsTide monitors 26+ sportsbooks including FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, PointsBet, and more. We continuously add new books based on user demand and market relevance.
How often does the data update?
Free users get updates every 60 seconds, while Pro users receive real-time updates every 15 seconds. This difference can be crucial for catching the best lines before they move.
Can I use OddsTide on mobile?
Yes! OddsTide is fully mobile-responsive. While we don't have dedicated apps yet, the mobile web experience is optimized for quick betting decisions on the go.
Do you offer customer support?
Pro members get priority email support with 24-hour response times. We also have comprehensive guides, video tutorials, and an active Discord community for peer support.
Final Thoughts
This is process over prediction. Keep emotions out, bet edges in volume, manage variance with Kelly, and respect sharp numbers.
The principles discussed here align with research from the Journal of Gambling Studies.